From ‘The AP Party’: Are the Golden Globes An Accurate Predictor for The Oscars?

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After the 2016 Golden Globe Awards, I took a look at the history of winners for the ceremony and how they compared to their corresponding Academy Awards, I wrote a post for The AP Party about my findings. Link to the full article at the bottom.

This year’s Golden Globe Awards gave us plenty to think about when it comes to the upcoming Academy Awards.

Is this finally Leonardo DiCaprio’s year with The Revenant or does Matt Damon (The Martian), who also has never won an acting Oscar, have a chance to upset? Will the Academy also see fit to give Revenant director Alejandro González Iñárritu that rare second-straight Best Director/Best Picture sweep or will Tom McCarthy ride Spotlight‘s early front-runner status to the big prize?

What about the lead actress award that went to Jennifer Lawrence (Joy) in Musical/Comedy, while Brie Larson (Room) picked up the award in the Drama category? For the supporting awards, Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs) got a surprise win with Sylvester Stallone (Creed) earning the night’s biggest ovation.

We might be closer to some answers when the Oscars nominations are announced Thursday (Jan. 14) morning. But history gives a good indication that we can consider some of those awards already locked. Looking back at the past 15 Golden Globes and Oscars winners in the major categories — Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor and Actress, Best Supporting Actor and Actress — provide some interesting revelations for what the Golden Globes mean as an Oscars predictor. They’re particularly strong with the acting categories, but not so much for the others. Read More…

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